关键词: 复杂系统管理, 计算机仿真, 仿真建模, 仿真预测, 仿真优化

Abstract: With fast development of technologies and productivities in past decades, many present-day complex systems display two important characteristics: complexity and uncertainty, where complexity may be further characterized by being large-scale, inter-connected and dynamic. In this article we are argue that computer simulation is suitable tool to model complex systems and may be used to solve many of the complex-system management problems. However, the complexity and uncertainty of complex systems also pose significant challenges to today’s simulation tools in modeling, prediction as well as optimization. We argue that the fast-developing technologies, including high-performance computing, big data and artificial intelligence,provide tremendous opportunities to develop next-generation simulation tools that can address these challenges.

Key words: complex-system management, computer simulation, simulation modeling, simulation prediction, simulation optimization