系统管理学报

系统管理学报 ›› 2025, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (2): 541-557.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.2097-4558.2025.02.018

• 数字经济与金融工程 • 上一篇    下一篇

数字经济如何促进“双碳”目标实现：理论机制与微观证据

杨维新1，杨云鹏2，朱晨1   

  1. 1. 上海理工大学 管理学院，上海 200093；2. 上海交通大学 安泰经济与管理学院，上海 200030
  • 收稿日期:2024-04-10 修回日期:2024-05-30 出版日期:2025-03-28 发布日期:2025-04-15
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金资助项目（72472101，72031006）；教育部哲社重大课题攻关项目（20JZD010）；国家社会科学基金资助项目（23WJLB010，24BGL075）；教育部人文社会科学项目（24YJC630187）；上海市软科学研究项目（24692108000）

Digital Economy and Dual Carbon Goals: Theory and Evidence

YANG Weixin1，YANG Yunpeng 2，ZHU Chen1   

  1. 1. Business School, University of Shanghai for Science and Technology, Shanghai 200093, China; 2. Antai College of Economics and Management, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200030, China
  • Received:2024-04-10 Revised:2024-05-30 Online:2025-03-28 Published:2025-04-15

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摘要： 在百年未有之大变局之际，数字经济成为中国式现代化主赛道，处理好数字经济发展与“双碳”目标实现之间的协同问题，是提升我国数字经济国际竞争力、助力新质生产力发展、全面推进中华民族伟大复兴新征程的重要任务。在理论层面构建了核心行为主体对数字经济发展和“双碳”目标实现的策略博弈模型，分析了在实现“双碳”目标过程中数字经济的积极作用及影响机制。基于2011~2021年中国上市公司的相关数据构建计量经济学模型，探讨并检验了上市公司数字经济发展水平对降低碳排放的实际效应。研究结果表明：每提高1个百分点的数字经济发展水平，上市公司碳排放总水平将降低0.016 4个百分点，数字经济发展水平对降低上市公司碳排放以实现“双碳”目标具有显著的正向作用。最后，通过分析双目标协同作用机制提出了针对性政策建议，推动双目标协同以加快形成新质生产力聚合要素。

关键词: 数字经济, “双碳”目标, 数字化转型, 中国式现代化, 新质生产力

Abstract: In the ear of transformative change, China’s path to modernization is increasingly shaped by the growing digital economy. The connection between the expansion of the digital economy and the achievement of the “dual-carbon” goals is pivotal for enhancing the global competitiveness, fostering new quality productive forces, and advancing national rejuvenation. From a theoretical standpoint, this paper developed a strategic framework to e explore the role of digital economy stakeholders in reaching these “dual-carbon” goals. Empirically, it applied econometric models using data from Chinese listed companies between 2011 to 2021 to assess the impact of digital economic development on carbon emission reductions. The analysis indicates that a 1% increase in digital economic growth correlates with a noteworthy 1.64‰ reduction in carbon emissions among these companies. Furthermore, the digital economy plays a pivotal role in cultivating new, high-quality productive forces, which are essential for high-quality development. The findings highlight the crucial role of the digital economy in enabling corporate carbon reductions and supporting the achievement of the “dual-carbon” goals.

Key words: digital economy, dual carbon goals, digital transformation, Chinese path to modernization, new quality productive forces

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