关键词: 人力资本错配, 人力资本贡献率, 系统测度, 两步系统GMM

Abstract: This paper attempts to integrate human capital mismatch into the analysis framework of human capital contribution rate to economic growth (hereinafter referred to as human capital contribution rate), and systematically measure and analyze the human capital mismatch index and human capital contribution rate of 30 sample provinces in China except Tibet, Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan from 2005 to 2018. It empirically tests the impact and effect of human capital mismatch on the contribution rate of human capital, and further discusses the regulatory role of industrial agglomeration in the above impact. The results show that the overall human capital mismatch in China tends to ease, but there is regional heterogeneity in the evolution trend. The eastern, central, and western regions are characterized by improvement, repeated fluctuation, and deterioration respectively. The mismatch of human capital has a significant negative effect on the contribution rate of human capital, and this effect still exists after distinguishing the two mismatch types of insufficient allocation and excessive allocation, but the negative effect of excessive allocation of human capital on the contribution rate of human capital is more obvious. Producer services and manufacturing producer services collaborative agglomeration have corrected the negative effect of human capital mismatch on human capital contribution rate to varying degrees, while manufacturing agglomeration strengthens the inhibitory effect of human capital mismatch on human capital contribution rate. This paper helps to enrich and improve the theory of factor allocation and economic growth in theory. The relevant problems and influence mechanism revealed provide rich policy implications for tapping China’s economic growth potential.

Key words: human capital mismatch, contribution rate of human capital, system measure, two step system GMM