系统管理学报 ›› 2026, Vol. 35 ›› Issue (4): 951-960.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.2097-4558.2026.04.006

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基于端到端预测后优化的重大工程物资配送路径规划

康柳江,周伦苇,毛雪莉,曹书瑞,孙会君   

  1. 北京交通大学 系统科学学院,北京 100044
  • 收稿日期:2025-06-10 修回日期:2025-07-21 出版日期:2026-07-28 发布日期:2026-08-03
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金资助项目(72471022,72331001,72542015);北京交通大学人才基金资助项目(2025XKRC007)

Major Engineering Material Distribution Route Planning Based on End-to-End Predict-Then-Optimize Approach

Kang Liujiang,Zhou Lunwei,Mao Xueli,Cao Shurui,Sun Huijun   

  1. School of Systems Science,Beijing Jiaotong University,Beijing 100044,China
  • Received:2025-06-10 Revised:2025-07-21 Online:2026-07-28 Published:2026-08-03

摘要: 本文基于端到端预测后优化(EPO)方法,研究了重大工程物资配送路径优化问题。首先,以总行程时间最小为目标,构建了重大工程物资配送路径优化模型。其次,针对重大工程建设路段的行程时间受天气、地质条件等因素波动较大的特点,提出了基于双向长短时记忆神经网络(BiLSTM)的行程时间预测模型,并设计了多源时序数据融合机制。然后,提出基于决策损失上界的可微训练框架,通过松弛非凸决策损失目标,解决梯度反向传播的稳定性问题。最后,结合某铁路施工区的实际案例,对 EPO-BiLSTM模型进行了验证。结果表明,该模型在节省行程时间、路径规划稳定性和鲁棒性方面均显著优于基准模型。

关键词: 工程物资配送, 路径优化, 行程时间, 端到端预测后优化, 双向长短时记忆网络

Abstract: This paper studies the optimization problem of distribution route for major engineering material based on the end-to-end predict-then-optimize (EPO) approach. First, a route optimization model for engineering material distribution is developed with the objective of minimizing total travel time. Then, considering that travel times on construction routes are highly affected by factors such as weather and geological conditions, a travel-time prediction model based on bidirectional long short-term memory (BiLSTM) neural network is proposed, along with a multi-source temporal data fusion mechanism. Subsequently, a differentiable training framework based on an upper bound of decision loss is developed to address gradient backpropagation stability by relaxing the non-convex loss function. Finally, a real-world case study from a railway construction area is used to validate the proposed the EPO-BiLSTM model. The results demonstrate that the EPO-BiLSTM model significantly outperforms benchmark models in terms of travel time reduction, routing planning stability, and robustness.

Key words: engineering material distribution, route optimization, travel time, end-to-end predict-then-optimize, bidirectional long short-term memory network (BiLSTM)

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