关键词: 应急管理, 重大铁路工程, 多元决策, 演化博弈, 动态响应

Abstract: Emergency rescue operations for major railway projects in China involves decision-making among multiple stakeholders. To address the challenges of multi-agent decision-making under information uncertainty, this paper incorporates expert decision-making into a framework involving government agencies, enterprises, and non-governmental rescue organizations. By integrating multidimensional factors such as geography, climate, and engineering complexity, a dynamic response collaborative decision-making model is established from a temporal perspective for major railway projects in complex and hazardous environments. It examines the strategic choices and interaction mechanisms among stakeholders during emergency rescue operations. The results show that reputation fluctuations significantly affect stakeholder strategies. Governments consistently adopt immediate rescue strategies to fulfill responsibilities for public safety and social stability. As government decisions evolve toward immediate rescue, enterprises, experts, and non-governmental rescue organizations display stronger rescue willingness and coordination tendencies, eventually evolving into a collaborative response equilibrium. Finally, it proposes policy recommendations for improving emergency rescue systems by strengthening expert guidance and introducing reputation evaluation mechanisms.

Key words: emergency management, major railway projects, multi-agent decision-making, evolutionary game, dynamic response